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AvidThink 2025 March Newsletter

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AvidThink 2025 March Update

We held back our March update by a few days to include Roy’s takeaways from KubeCon EU 2025, which ran from March 31 to April 4 (including the co-located LF Open Networking and Edge Summit, plus the Cloud-Native Telco Summit). This is in addition to his notes from the MPLS World Congress (technically MPLS SRv6 AI SDNet) in Paris and NVIDIA’s GTC in San Jose.

Q2 2025 kicks off with massive uncertainty and volatility in the worldwide market. Under the umbrella of a global trade war, it’s unclear if the AI and data center boom can sustain tech optimism. We’re seeing signs that huge data center commitments from the end of 2024 and early 2025 may be wavering, and given the herd mentality of investors, we expect to see pauses or delays in data center projects while the global tariff war plays out.

Even if semiconductors are currently untouched by tariffs, global supply chains will reconfigure across the short, medium, and long term, with businesses focusing even more on resilience in the face of different scenarios that will play out over the next decade. We’re hearing from EMEA, LATAM, and APAC firms about their desire to choose suppliers domiciled in diverse geographic locations and more mentions of sovereignty (data, management, control).

US-based suppliers and cloud providers (especially the hyperscalers) may have to put more effort into allaying the concerns of global and regional telcos and other infrastructure players; meanwhile, this might be an opportunity for other players to grow their footprint.

Speaking of data centers, you may be one of the few who have yet to download our 2025 Data Center Networking Report, which covers the impact of AI and cloud workloads on data centers.

Data Center Networking 2025 Report

Here’s what the rest of our newsletter has in store for you:

  • Roy’s Travelogue — NVIDIA GTC, MPLS World Congress, KubeCon EU (LF ONE Summit)
  • Latest Reports — Data Center Networking for AI and Cloud Workloads
  • Recent Articles— Insights from MEF’s GNE 2024 plus 2025 look ahead
  • NextGenInfra — OFC 2025, MPLS WC 2025, MWC 2025, Data Center Networking
  • February News Roundup — 5G SA momentum, SoftBank buys Ampere, AI, AI, AI-RAN and more
  • Other Content — AvidThink in the News, Webinars, Meet Us Live!

Roy’s Travelogue

I barely had a week’s break from MWC Barcelona before NVIDIA’s GTC showed up on our analyst circuit. The AI gold rush continues, with in-person attendance of over 25,000 from all over the world gathered to check out the latest from the hottest company in technology. I attended the MPLS World Congress in Paris the week following GTC, followed by KubeCon EU in London.

NVIDIA GTC – San Jose

Fortunately, NVIDIA GTC was at the San Jose Convention Center, which required no flying, only fighting local traffic and a dearth of parking spots. By now, you’ve seen wrap-ups from all the major mainstream newspapers (that’s how important NVIDIA is today) as well as the trade rags, so I won’t rehash the obvious announcements around Blackwell Ultra, Vera Rubin, Rubin Ultra, NVL576 Kyber Rack at up to 600 KW/rack! A couple of things that caught my attention included:

  • NVIDIA Dynamo, the open-source orchestration system for scaling AI inferencing, is just as important as the hardware announcements.

  • Physical AI and world models, with Isaac GROOT N1 foundation model for humanoid robots and Newton Physics Engine.

  • Aerial Omniverse Digital Twin (AODT), that can used to simulate real-world environments, such as cell towers and UE traffic patterns.

  • Co-packaged Optics (CPO) with Spectrum-X Photonics is a bold move to go all in on CPO with attendant benefits of reduced power consumption while supporting higher throughputs (check out our Data Center Networking report for more context on this).

Two final takeaways — (1) Jensen touting the annual cadence of hardware release and how value in existing GPUs is destroyed as a result, and forward selling upcoming chips. Pre-selling typically stalls existing sales (unless there’s a shortage of existing GPUs, which counteracts this). Given that I’m hearing of and seeing more and more idle H100s in the market (aggregation marketplaces for excess GPUs show a potential glut of stranded one-off H100s out there), what Jensen said might come true, and value/revenue could be destroyed in existing GPU with no uptake for new GPUs. (2) It’s amazing how long well-paid engineers/executives will stand in line for $0.10 worth of candies from Microsoft’s onsite candy store with a large array of cool candy dispensers… the opportunity cost, the sugar highs, the carbs!

MPLS World Congress (SRv6, SDN, AI and Quantum Networking) – Paris

Upperside Conferences held its 26th annual conference which no longer discusses MPLS but focuses on SRv6, network automation, and other pertinent topics for layers 1, 2, and 3 connectivity. The show felt busier than previous years (1,000+ attendees) and was still packed on the morning of the 3rd day (which is usually relatively quiet). Co-locating the SD-WAN/SASE and the Quantum Networking forums was a good idea and allowed the crowds to mix and discuss physical networking (quantum key distribution) up the stack to layer 7 application connections. MEF contributed speakers to an enterprise-centric forum, with Accenture (last-minute cancellation due to travel issues), Bloomberg, Colt, and MEF represented on the panel – various aspects of NaaS, along with what enterprises expected from carriers.

Key takeaways for me from the conference: SRv6 is interoperable between all the major vendors and leading startups and will increasingly be used for policy-based networking and intelligent routing. Quantum computing-resistant encryption (post-quantum cryptography or PQC) is now on the horizon for many enterprises, carriers, and vendors that will need to provide usable solutions.

KubeCon EU – London

KubeCon EU welcomed more than 12,500 attendees (the highest ever and an increase over the 12,000 last year) to the Excel Center in London (it’s a big venue that takes 10 minutes to walk from one end to another, though it’s not quite the Fira in Barcelona). A dynamic crowd of developers and the ecosystem around them showed up to continue pushing the cloud-native agenda forward.

Co-located with KubeCon was the Linux Foundation Networking Open Networking and Edge Summit (called ONESummit previously but goes by its full name now) and cloud-native telco day. The core group of networking and telco folks met to discuss the state of networking, edge, and telco since the advent of SDN and NFV and the cloud journey we’ve been on. It was a significantly smaller subset of attendees, but the true believers were there.

Key takeaways:

  • Many technologies and requirements the networking and telco community cared about have diffused and been rolled up into the broader ecosystem. Isolation and portability show up in the WASM efforts that cross industries; networking needs are present in more mainline efforts to accommodate SmartNICs, eBPF, Cilium, Calico, etc., and edge workloads are tending toward AI, meaning that edge inferencing is again cross-industry and less telco-specific.

  • Remaining dedicated efforts, including API, telco cloud, and edge efforts that encompass CAMARA, Project Sylva, and EVE (which is more industry 4.0 and IoT than pure telco), will continue to drive interest. The absorption of the Open Infra Foundation (formerly OpenStack Foundation) under the Linux Foundation will strengthen the telco cloud efforts (especially given existing Broadcom customers looking for cheaper VMware ESXi and NSX alternatives).

  • AI continues to drive interest across verticals, and newly announced Linux Foundation Networking Projects Salus and Essedum, which Infosys is helping kickstart with code donation (the Infosys Responsible AI Toolkit will power Salus).

  • KubeCon EU had a couple of main themes: observability and unified observability. Did I say observability already? The remarkable number of vendors touting that on the show floors across the north and south halls makes it confusing to pick. In addition, multi-cluster management (KubeFleet), security (SLSA, SBOM), AI-assisted operations for K8S, cost-management (FinOps is still a thing but not as hot), developer portals (BackStage), platform engineering, and AI inferencing stacks on K8S were the other key messages across vendors and presentations.

I’m happy to chat more about any of the shows and our findings. Drop us a line at [email protected]. Up next for me are RSA 2025 (San Francisco) where our media partner Jim Carroll has cooked up a new “En route to RSA via Waymo” interview series (drop us a note if interested), FutureNet World back in London, and then AI Networking Summit (aka ONUG) in Dallas. Catch you then!

– Roy for the AvidThink Team

2025 March News Roundup

5G

China Mobile to Deploy 340K New 5G Base Stations in 2025
China Mobile plans to deploy 340,000 additional 5G base stations, bringing its total to nearly 2.8 million by year-end 2025. Despite this expansion, the company forecasts a 7.8% decline in capex for 2025, following a 7.6% decrease in 2024. China Mobile’s 5G customers now account for 55% of its total mobile subscriber base, with average revenue per user (ARPU) declining 1.6% to approximately US$6.80.

O2 Telefónica Deploys 500 5G Radios in Germany in Q1 2025
O2 Telefónica deployed 500 new 5G radios across Germany in Q1 2025 and completed 1,600 network infrastructure expansion measures to improve coverage and capacity, particularly in underserved communities and major cities. The company now covers more than 96% of the German population with 5G, having launched 5G standalone (SA) in October 2023 under the 5G Plus brand.

Vodafone Spain Selects Ericsson for 5G SA Core Network
Vodafone Spain will use Ericsson’s dual-mode 5G core technology to provide its 5G SA core network, aiming to cover 90% of the country’s population by the end of the year. The four-year deal will enable Vodafone to offer 5G SA features like network slicing and advanced edge computing, improving network latency.

Ericsson UK CEO Notes Persistent Gaps in 5G User Experience
Ericsson UK and Ireland CEO Katherin Ainley highlighted ongoing challenges in delivering a consistent 5G experience across the U.K., with significant variations between urban and rural areas. Issues include limited 5G SA device availability and slow mid-band spectrum deployment, although there’s strong momentum in 5G private networks for enterprise sectors like ports and manufacturing.

U Mobile and Braintree Partner to Advance Smart Farming in Malaysia
U Mobile has partnered with Braintree Technologies to accelerate smart farming adoption in Malaysia, focusing on drones, robotics, and precision farming. The partnership will develop integrated services to enhance connectivity and resource management, promoting sustainable agriculture through use cases like crop monitoring, autonomous machinery, and IoT-based remote management.

BT Prepares for Network Slicing with “Best 5G SA in Europe”
BT’s EE will cover 40% of the UK population with 5G SA by the end of March, claiming to have the “best 5G SA network in Europe.” The company plans to introduce static network slicing for gaming and security this year, with dynamic slicing to follow in 2026.

AI

SoftBank and Ericsson Collaborate on AI, Cloud RAN, and 6G Development
SoftBank and Ericsson have formed a strategic partnership to develop AI, cloud RAN, XR, and 6G technologies, extending until 2030. The collaboration will focus on new use cases, evaluating cloud RAN commercial readiness, integrating AI, designing XR network strategies, and exploring 6G centimeter wave technologies.

Nvidia Collaborates with Global Telcos on AI Adoption
Nvidia is working with 150 global telcos, including 90% of the top 40, to integrate AI for productivity, customer experience, and network performance. The company has also partnered with T-Mobile, Mitre, Cisco, ODC, and Booz Allen Hamilton to develop an AI-native wireless stack based on the Nvidia AI Aerial platform.

Nvidia Drives AI Integration into 6G Standards
Nvidia is actively working to incorporate AI into the 6G standard, collaborating with telecom providers and the research community. The company’s partnerships, including those with T-Mobile, Cisco, and others, aim to establish AI as a fundamental component of future networks.

AI’s Potential in Enhancing Smart Building Management
The proliferation of smart buildings, generating vast amounts of data, presents a significant opportunity for AI applications. With millions of smart buildings globally and increasing numbers of smart MDUs in the U.S., AI can help manage data overload and provide actionable insights, requiring robust 5G connectivity.

South Korea Deploys AI-Powered Spam Blocker for Smartphones
South Korea has developed an AI-powered spam blocking technology that automatically detects and blocks suspicious messages on smartphones. Developed by the Korea Communications Commission and KISA in collaboration with Samsung Electronics, the technology will be integrated into Samsung’s S25 Galaxy devices and rolled out to other Android 15 devices.

Orange Explores AI for Autonomous 5G Network Management
Orange is developing an AI-powered orchestration layer to automate 5G network operations, aiming to transform networks into self-managing entities. This “network brain” would reduce outages, improve fault management, and enhance network availability, enabling dynamic network slicing.

Private 5G

Alcatel Lucent Enterprise and Celona Partner on Private 5G Solutions
Alcatel-Lucent Enterprise (ALE) is partnering with Celona to offer private 5G network solutions tailored for IoT and Industry 4.0 use cases in industrial settings. The integrated solution combines ALE’s networking products with Celona’s security and authentication capabilities, providing low-latency connectivity for IoT devices, vehicles, and AR/VR applications.

Cisco Focuses on 5G Private Networking, Not RAN Development
Cisco is prioritizing its 5G private networking business and forming partnerships with established RAN providers, rather than entering the RAN market directly. The company collaborates with Nokia and NEC on private cellular projects, providing core, security, and routing solutions.

Network Virtualization/Disaggregation

Comcast Expands Janus Trial with DriveNets for Network Virtualization
Comcast is expanding its trial of Janus, its network virtualization and AI integration initiative, using DriveNets’ cloud solution. The company aims to virtualize and disaggregate its core transport network, planning a nationwide rollout to enhance product innovation and meet rising network demand.

RAN (with some AI too)

Verizon CTO Expresses Skepticism About AI RAN’s Cost-Effectiveness
Verizon’s CTO, Santiago “Yago” Tenorio, believes AI RAN using GPUs is currently not cost-effective compared to vRAN, as GPUs don’t offer significant performance improvements for 5G radio workloads. Verizon is deploying vRAN-based open RAN solutions with Samsung and Ericsson, having deployed over 10,000 5G vRAN sites and 130,000 open RAN radios from Samsung.

Samsung Downplays Open RAN Concerns, Sees AI RAN Opportunities
Samsung’s Alok Shah stated that operators remain optimistic about open RAN but prefer single-vendor solutions initially. He also highlighted AI RAN’s potential to revolutionize RAN technology and predicted increased telecom equipment investment in 2025.

SoftBank’s Ampere Acquisition Poses Potential Threat to Nvidia in vRAN
SoftBank’s $6.5 billion acquisition of Ampere could challenge Nvidia’s position in the vRAN market, where Ampere is a leading CPU provider. This move is significant as vRAN uses CPUs and off-the-shelf servers, potentially disrupting Intel’s dominance in this space.

Mavenir and NEC Adjust Strategies Amid Slow Open RAN Growth
Mavenir and NEC are adjusting their market strategies due to slow open RAN growth, with Mavenir reducing product volume for profitability and NEC focusing on ODM business models. These adjustments aim to optimize costs and focus on core competencies.

ORAN Alliance Marks Seven Years Amid Market Challenges
The ORAN Alliance celebrated its seventh anniversary amid a declining RAN market, with major vendors like Huawei, Ericsson, and Nokia dominating sales. Telcos continue to favor single-vendor solutions, exemplified by AT&T’s $14 billion contract with Ericsson.

Cloud

ZTE and Virtuozzo Partner to Deliver Hyper-Converged Infrastructure
ZTE is collaborating with Virtuozzo to provide hyper-converged infrastructure (HCI) to alternative cloud providers, aiming to expand their global reach. The partnership leverages Sino-Swiss cloud products, allowing telecom companies in the U.S. and Europe to work with their offerings.

U.S. Accounts for 54% of Global Hyperscale Data Center Capacity
The number of hyperscale data centers reached 1,136 by the end of 2024, with the U.S. accounting for 54% of global capacity. Hyperscale data center capacity has doubled in less than four years, and is projected to double again in the next four.

Microsoft to Launch First Cloud Region in Malaysia in Q2 2025
Microsoft will launch its first cloud region in Malaysia in Q2 2025, expecting to generate $10.9 billion in new revenue over four years. The new region, consisting of three data centers in Greater Kuala Lumpur, will create 37,575 new jobs, including 700 skilled IT roles.

Tata Communications Launches Vayu Cloud for AI and Cloud Services
Tata Communications has introduced Vayu Cloud, an AI-cloud offering that combines compute, storage, AI, security, and cloud connectivity. The company aims to address enterprise challenges with traditional cloud vendors, claiming to reduce cloud expenditures by 15% to 25%.

SD-WAN

SASE Market Reaches $2.6 Billion in Q4 2024, Driven by SD-WAN Growth
The global SASE market reached $2.6 billion in Q4 2024, with a 14% year-over-year revenue increase, according to Dell’Oro Group. The SD-WAN segment showed significant improvement, and single-vendor SASE solutions grew 77% year over year.

Recently Published Research Briefs and Reports

Analyst Insights from GNE 2024: Carrier NaaS in 2025

Roy discusses his Insights from GNE 2024: Carrier NaaS in 2025

Read more articles

AvidThink in the News

MWC: ZTE buffs 5G-A chops with China Mobile

Ciena isn’t too worried about tariffs right now

Nvidia’s 6G bet: How AI will shape the next-gen wireless network

Optics, not GPUs, are Nvidia's big GTC news

Global telecom infra faced the ultimate pitfall in 2024

Comcast says it can do AI better than its fiber competitors

Operators are being naive about AI's impact on the workforce

Does fiber-to-the-prem really matter for AI and the edge?

Upcoming and On-Demand Webinars

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Recently Published Research Briefs and Reports

RESEARCH BRIEF

2025 DC Networking Report

This report provides a balanced and measured assessment of AI’s influence on data center networking, the advances that are reshaping architectures, the challenges and opportunities that CxOs and IT teams face, and a clear outlook on the evolving vendor landscape.

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